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Recent Publications

  • Venezuela: The Path Forward

    By Dr. Evan Ellis, PhD

    Thanks to the courageous work of the Venezuelan opposition, including obtaining physical and photographic evidence of over 80% of the individual “acts” from Venezuela’s more than 30,000 polling places, the world generally knows that Edmundo Gonzalez received far more votes than Nicholas Maduro in the country’s July 28, 2024, Presidential election.  Nonetheless, he is unlikely to successfully take control of the state apparatus that controls Venezuela’s territory on Inauguration Day, January 10, 2025.   

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  • Paraguay’s Security Challenges and the Government Response

    By Dr. R. Evan Ellis, PhD

    This article analyzes the security challenges in Paraguay and the government response under the

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  • Chile’s Expanding Defense Relationship with China

    By R. Evan Ellis

    From September 9-14, 2024, Chilean Defense Minister Maya Fernandez Allende, granddaughter of Chile’s

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  • Re-Asserting the Value of the Individual for Latin America’s Security and Prosperity

    By Dr. R. Evan Ellis, PhD

    Empowerment of the individual, not the state, is the key to innovation, prosperity, physical and political security for Latin America, as the region engages with an unprecedented array of challenges and new partners.

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  • “A Baseline Assessment of the PLA Army's Border Reinforcement Operations in the Aksai Chin”

    By Josh Arostegui and Dennis Blasko

    In episode 18 of CLSC Dialogues, Josh Arostegui interviews prominent China expert Dennis Blasko on his analysis of PLA Army and Boader Defense Unit activity along the Line of Actual Control between China and India. He describes the development of infrastructure that allows the PLA to maintain a more robust forward presence. He further describes ...

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  • Bargaining for Justice: Ukraine, Gaza, and the Ethics of Conflict Termination

    By C. Anthony Pfaff

    As wars in Ukraine and Gaza continue with little end in sight, the sense of urgency to determine how they should end is increasing, given how the wars could end. A just war aims to establish a better state of peace, but a better state of peace may not always be achievable, and even when it is achievable, it may not be good enough. When that is the case, actors must determine on what terms to settle ...

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  • Ukraine in NATO: Beyond the ‘Irreversible Path’

    By John R. Deni, Elisabeth Nielsen

    Whether and how NATO might pull Ukraine closer attracted a great deal of attention at the 2024

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  • The Role of America’s European Allies in the Russia-Ukraine War, 2022–24

    By John R. Deni, Lisa A. Aronsson

    What more can US allies in Europe do to assist Ukraine militarily? More broadly, what can the United States expect from its closest allies in Europe in strategic competition with Russia and China? In this monograph, John R. Deni and Lisa A. Aronsson assess whether US allies and partners in Europe can continue providing military assistance to Ukraine or expand assistance, while preserving their own national ...

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  • The Growing Significance of China-Russia Defense Cooperation

    By Brian G. Carlson

    Russian President Vladimir Putin’s two recent meetings with Chinese President Xi Jinping, especially his visit to Beijing in May, reinforced US and allied concerns about the China-Russia relationship, especially the two countries’ growing security cooperation. In recent months, US officials have increasingly called attention to the support that China is providing to Russia’s defense industry, which has helped Russia to ...

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  • Brazil’s Attempt to Control X: The Deterioration of the Liberal World Order

    By R. Evan Ellis

    Elon Musk’s clash with the Lula government raises the issue of how to promote democracy and free speech in the new technological era.

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