Mar 1, 2008

By Dr Andrew Scobell

Author: Dr Andrew Scobell The author seeks to assist planners and decisionmakers in thinking about and preparing for possible future contingencies concerning North Korea. He does not dwell on war or conflict scenarios involving North Korea because military planners have already focused considerable effort and attention on these. It is entirely

Mar 1, 2006

By Dr Andrew Scobell

Author: Dr Andrew Scobell In the first decade of the 21st century, few national security challenges facing the United States is as vexing as that posed by North Korea. It is a paradox because it appears to be a very powerful state—possessing the world's fourth largest armed forces, a sizeable arsenal of ballistic missiles, and a worrying nuclear

Jul 1, 2005

By Dr Andrew Scobell

Author: Dr Andrew Scobell Dr. Andrew Scobell examines the topic of Pyongyang's strategic intentions. He first identifies a broad spectrum of expert views and distills this wisdom into three "packages" of possible strategic intentions. He then sets out to test which package appears to reflect actual North Korean policy. While he opines that one is

Jan 1, 2005

By Dr Andrew Scobell

Author: Dr Andrew Scobell Each month a member of the SSI faculty writes an editorial for our monthly newsletter. This is the Op-Ed for the January 2005 newsletter.Read Now

Mar 1, 2004

By Dr Andrew Scobell

Author: Dr Andrew Scobell At first, it might not seem surprising to have a formal military alliance that has endured more than 4 decades between two communist neighbors, China and North Korea. After all, their armed forces fought shoulder-to-shoulder in the Korean War 50 years ago. However, Beijing's ties to Pyongyang have weakened considerably

Mar 1, 2003

By Dr Andrew Scobell

Author: Dr Andrew Scobell The author has been asked to analyze four issues: the position that key states in their region are taking on U.S. military action against Iraq; the role of America in the region after the war with Iraq; the nature of security partnerships in the region after the war with Iraq; and the effect that war with Iraq will have on

May 1, 2002

By Dr Andrew Scobell

Author: Dr Andrew Scobell The author examines the impact of strategic culture on 21st century China. He contends that the People's Republic of China's security policies and its tendency to use military force are influenced not only by elite understandings of China's own strategic tradition, but also by their understandings of the strategic cultures

Oct 1, 2001

By Dr Andrew Scobell

Author: Dr Andrew Scobell It is increasingly important for Americans to think carefully about the vast complexities of the U.S.-China relationship, and the calculations that go into forming courses of action. The key question is: will China s so-called first priority of economic development and its resulting influence on domestic social stability

Apr 1, 2001

By Dr Andrew Scobell

Author: Dr Andrew Scobell The United States has key economic and security interests in the Asia-Pacific region. In recent decades, the Asia-Pacific has experienced rapid economic growth, a wave of democratization, and the emergence of a web of regional and sub regional multilateral institutions. All these developments have contributed to enhancing

Jul 1, 2000

By Dr Andrew Scobell

Author: Dr Andrew Scobell To many in the United States, China looms large and threatening. This monograph attempts to answer, through an analysis of China's defense establishment under the leadership of Jiang Zemin, questions such as: What are the national security and national military goals of China's leaders? What strategies are Chinese leaders